
Despite expanding domestic refining capacity to 1.12 million barrels per day across 14 operational refineries, Iraq remains constrained by a structural fuel deficit, relying on six million liters of imported high-octane petrol daily to satisfy domestic demand. According to details obtained by Channel 8, spending $5 billion annually on imported refined products, including $3 billion explicitly for gasoline and diesel, leaves OPEC’s second-largest crude producer vulnerable to regional military escalations and foreign export slowdowns.
| Refinery / Facility Indicator | Daily Processing / Production Volume | Operational & Strategic Role |
| Total Domestic Processing | 1,120,000 barrels per day (bpd) | Combined capacity across 14 active national refineries |
| Basra Refinery | 210,000 bpd | Primary Southern refining hub |
| Karbala Refinery | 140,000 bpd | Advanced high-octane production addition |
| Smood (Baiji) Refinery | 140,000 bpd | Rebuilt Northern supply center |
| Dora (Baghdad) Refinery | 140,000 bpd | Central regional supply facility |
| Kirkuk Refinery | 90,000 bpd | Northern regional refining station |
| National Petrol Production | 25 Million Liters / Day | Aggregate domestic output across all 14 refineries |
| Daily Foreign Import Deficit | 6 Million Liters / Day | Premium and super-grade petrol imported daily |
| Annual Fuel Import Budget | ~$5 Billion USD Total | Includes $3 billion explicitly for gasoline and diesel |
While raw processing volumes have surged past 1.12 million bpd, domestic refining configurations remain heavily weighted toward lower-octane fuel and heavy fuel oil. Production across key refining complexes—including Basra (210,000 bpd), Baiji (140,000 bpd), Dora (140,000 bpd), and Kirkuk (90,000 bpd)—yields 25 million liters of standard petrol daily. However, the rapidly expanding domestic vehicle fleet relies heavily on imported 95+ octane gasoline, which domestic cracking units cannot yet produce in sufficient quantities.
Iraq's $3 billion annual outlay for imported gasoline and diesel exposes national energy security to external supply shocks. With regional military tensions escalating around maritime trade bottlenecks and Gulf refineries curbing export allocations to prioritize domestic reserves, any physical or logistical blockade threatens immediate petrol shortages at local fuel stations.
Iraq’s fuel dilemma highlights a structural mismatch between crude processing volume and advanced refining capability. While adding capacity at Karbala and Baiji has improved baseline fuel availability, eliminating the 6-million-liter daily import dependency requires swift completion of secondary isomerization and Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC) units to produce high-octane fuel locally.
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